长时序遥感影像监测上海临港新片区城市化进程
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P237;F299.27

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国家自然科学基金青年基金(42101443)


Monitoring the urbanization process in Shanghai Lingang Special Area using long-time-series remote sensing images
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    摘要:

    为了监测中国(上海)自由贸易试验区临港新片区长时间序列城市化进程,分析其时空连续变化特征及驱动力,本研究利用1984—2020年Landsat长时间序列遥感影像,构建年均值及像元水平归一化建筑物指数、归一化植被指数、归一化水体指数时间序列曲线,采用线性回归拟合法进行突变点检测,确定城市化开始和结束年份。在此基础上,选取1984年和2020年作为基准年份,利用随机森林分类器对临港新片区土地利用/覆盖进行分类。结果显示,1984—2020年新增城市用地主要来源于水域和植被,城市用地面积增长了346.73 km2,年均增长率为12.85%,以2001和2010年为拐点,分为3个阶段:低速发展阶段(1984—2000年),年均增长率为8.83%;中速发展阶段(2001—2010年),年均增长率为12.49%;高速发展阶段(2011—2020年),年均增长率为15.39%。研究表明,经济与人口的增长是城市用地扩张的主要驱动力。上海临港新片区城市化发展在空间上呈现沿海岸带分布、条块状分布的特征,不同时期城市用地扩张速度和来源有所不同,且经济发展与城市化进程相互促进。本研究对未来长江经济带精细化城市建设、河口海岸带资源的合理有效利用具有极其重要的现实意义。

    Abstract:

    To monitor the long-time-series urbanization process of the Lingang Special Area of China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone and analyze its spatiotemporal continuous change characteristics and driving forces, this study utilized Landsat long-time-series remote sensing images from 1984 to 2020. Annual average and pixel-level time-series curves of the Normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and Normalized difference water index (NDWI) were constructed. Linear regression fitting was employed for abrupt change detection to determine the start and end years of urbanization. Based on this, 1984 and 2020 were selected as benchmark years, and a random forest classifier was used to classify the land use/cover types of Shanghai Lingang Special Area. The results showed that from 1984 to 2020, the additional urban land mainly originated from water bodies and vegetation. The urban land area increased by 346.73 km2, with an average annual growth rate of 12.85%. Taking 2001 and 2010 as turning points, the process was divided into three stages: slow development stage (1984-2000), with an average annual growth rate of 8.83%, medium-speed development stage (2001-2010), with an average annual growth rate of 12.49%, and rapid development stage (2011-2020), with an average annual growth rate of 15.39%. The study revealed that economic and population growth were the primary driving forces of urban land expansion. Spatially, the urbanization development of Shanghai Lingang Special Area exhibited characteristics of coastal and patchy distribution. The speed and sources of urban land expansion varied across different periods, and economic development and urbanization process promoted each other. This research holds extremely important practical significance for the future refined urban construction of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the rational and effective utilization of estuarine and coastal resources.

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陈明,郭东旭,马振玲,蒙梅清.长时序遥感影像监测上海临港新片区城市化进程[J].上海海洋大学学报,2025,34(4):800-811.
CHEN Ming, GUO Dongxu, MA Zhenling, MENG Meiqing. Monitoring the urbanization process in Shanghai Lingang Special Area using long-time-series remote sensing images[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2025,34(4):800-811.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-02-18
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-21
  • 录用日期:2025-04-22
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-13
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