基于层次分析法综合评价上海地区福寿螺入侵影响
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F326.4

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国家重点研发计划(2022YFC2601303)


Assessing the comprehensive impact of Pomacea canaliculata invasion in Shanghai using analytic hierarchy process
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    摘要:

    从经济、生态和社会影响3个维度构建外来水生生物入侵综合评价体系,采用分层随机抽样发放问卷,收集专家对水生生物入侵影响因素重要性的评价,并运用AHP层次分析法确定各指标权重。发现入侵经济影响(权重0.72)的重要性高于生态影响(权重0.17)和社会影响(权重0.11),排前五的影响因素依次为:直接经济损失(0.47)、生态位侵占(0.11)、管控成本(0.09)、清除费用(0.08)及公众辨识力(0.067)。对上海各区福寿螺(Pomacea canaliculata)入侵影响进行评分,百分位数高于50%的区域包括崇明(P99)、松江(P68)、金山(P64)、浦东(P61)和青浦(P53)。建议上海遵循“经济权重优先、生态敏感区覆盖、社会参与补位”的准则,实施分区、分级的差异化入侵防控策略。

    Abstract:

    This study constructs a comprehensive evaluation system to assess the impact of aquatic invasive species from three dimensions: economic, ecological, and social impacts. First, a questionnaire was distributed using stratified sampling to collect expert assessments on the relative importance of influencing factors. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was applied to determine the weights. The results revealed that the economic impact (0.72) was considered more significant than ecological (0.17) and social impacts (0.11). Top five influencing factors were direct economic losses (0.47), niche occupation (0.11), control costs (0.09), eradication expenses (0.08) and public awareness (0.067). Next, the impact of Pomacea canaliculata invasion in Shanghai was scored across districts. Areas with scores exceeding percentile 50 included Chongming (P99), Songjiang (P68), Jinshan (P64), Pudong (P61), and Qingpu (P53). In conclusion, a district-diversified and level-specific strategy is proposed for preventing Pomacea canaliculata invasion in Shanghai, guided by the principles of prioritizing economic impact, protecting ecologically sensitive areas, and incorporating public participation.

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张振宇.基于层次分析法综合评价上海地区福寿螺入侵影响[J].上海海洋大学学报,2025,34(5):1039-1048.
ZHANG Zhenyu. Assessing the comprehensive impact of Pomacea canaliculata invasion in Shanghai using analytic hierarchy process[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2025,34(5):1039-1048.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-22
  • 最后修改日期:2025-08-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-25
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