基于深度学习的东南太平洋茎柔鱼渔场预测
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S934;TP181

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上海市教育委员会AI专项(A1-3405-25-000303);国家自然科学基金(42476086,42006159);国家重点研发计划(2023YFD2401305);华为AI百校计划(hid09976227);鱿鱼渔业渔情预报服务系统开发项目(COFC-C-S-2024-003)


Deep learning-based fishing ground prediction of Dosidicus gigas in the Southeast Pacific
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    摘要:

    为了提升东南太平洋茎柔鱼(Dosidicus gigas)渔场预测的时空精细化水平,评估多时间尺度与不同环境因子组合对中心渔场分布的影响,采用2012—2021年的渔业与环境数据,设定了3、6、10、15和30 d共5个时间尺度,选取海表面温度(Sea surface temperature,SST)、海表面高度(Sea surface height,SSH)、海表面盐度(Sea surface salinity,SSS)和有效光合辐射(Photosynthetically active radiation,Par)等因子设计了7种环境因子组合作为输入。引入渔场应用效果指数(Application effect index of fishing ground,AEIFG)进行中心渔场定义作为输出,针对30 d尺度下Par对渔场定义的不利影响,通过权重优化方法加以改进。采用U-Net、广义加性模型(Generalized additive model,GAM)和人工神经网络(Artificial neural network,ANN)进行预测对比。结果显示,U-Net在各方案下表现最佳,能够准确刻画中心渔场空间格局;环境因子组合对预测精度影响显著,SST和SSS组合效果最佳。研究表明,深度学习方法能够有效整合多源环境信息,提升茎柔鱼渔场预测精度。本研究可为多时间尺度渔场预测及智能化渔情服务提供技术支撑。

    Abstract:

    To improve the spatiotemporal granularity of fishing-ground prediction for Dosidicusgigasin the southeastern Pacific, we evaluated how multiple time scales and environmental-factor combinations influence the distribution of the center fishing ground. Using fishery and environmental datasets from 2012 to 2021, we considered five temporal windows (3 d, 6 d, 10 d, 15 d, 30 d) and seven input combinations derived from sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH), sea surface salinity (SSS), and photosynthetically active radiation (Par). The application effect index of fishing ground (AEIFG) was introduced to define the center fishing ground as the prediction target. Because PAR degraded performance at the 30 d scale, we applied a weight-optimization scheme to mitigate its adverse effect. We compared three models: U-Net, generalized additive model (GAM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Results show that U-Net consistently achieved the best performance across schemes and accurately captured the spatial structure of center fishing grounds. Prediction accuracy depended strongly on the environmental-factor configuration, with the SST and SSS combination performing best overall. These findings demonstrate that deep learning can effectively integrate multi-source oceanographic information to enhance prediction accuracy for fishing grounds, providing methodological support for multi-timescale forecasting and intelligent fishery information services.

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徐佳雯,解明阳,柳彬,余为,陈新军,汪金涛,王晓辉.基于深度学习的东南太平洋茎柔鱼渔场预测[J].上海海洋大学学报,2026,35(3):767-781.
XU Jiawen, XIE Mingyang, LIU Bin, YU Wei, CHEN Xinjun, WANG Jintao, WANG Xiaohui. Deep learning-based fishing ground prediction of Dosidicus gigas in the Southeast Pacific[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2026,35(3):767-781.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-04-22
  • 最后修改日期:2025-08-20
  • 录用日期:2025-09-25
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-11
  • 出版日期: 2026-03-31
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