基于重抽样与空间聚类方法的宁波近海海洋生态环境监测站位优化
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X835

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国家重点研发计划(2024YFD2400403);宁波市海岸带“一地一策”生态系统综合预警项目(D-8006-25-0287)


Optimization of marine ecological monitoring stations in Ningbo coastal waters based on resampling and spatial clustering
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    摘要:

    以宁波近海为例,基于2024年夏季92个站位、16项水体环境指标数据,构建“分区随机不放回重抽样与空间聚类”的站位优化框架。以泰森(Thiessen)多边形面积加权均值为基准,并结合0.05°规则网格均值进行对照评估,采用相对估计误差(Relative estimation error, REE)和相对偏差(Relative bias, RB)衡量不同站位规模的估计性能,并在极差标准化与综合指数基础上进行UPGMA聚类优选站位。结果表明,区域水体环境呈显著空间异质性:三门湾与象山东部的盐度、溶解氧、pH、总碱度及铵态氮偏高;杭州湾南岸—北仑北部与象山港—北仑南部的化学需氧量、硅酸盐、活性磷酸盐、颗粒有机碳、总氮、硝酸盐氮、总磷偏高;悬浮物、叶绿素a、亚硝酸盐氮与溶解有机碳分布较均匀。REE随站位数增加快速下降,叶绿素a、颗粒有机碳、亚硝酸盐氮与活性磷酸盐对站位数最敏感。以REE=10%为阈值,综合聚类覆盖与管理约束,并保留趋势性站位,最终全区域确定72个站位,4个分区分别为18、17、25、12个站位。研究方法兼顾统计稳健性与空间代表性,可为宁波及类似近海海域的监测网络优化提供参考。

    Abstract:

    This study developed a station optimization framework integrating stratified random sampling (without replacement) and spatial clustering, using the offshore waters of Ningbo as a case study. The framework was based on data from 92 stations and 16 water quality parameters collected during summer in 2024. Area-weighted means based on Thiessen polygons served as the primary benchmark for comparison, with additional comparisons made against means from a regular 0.05° grid. The estimation performance under different station densities was evaluated using the Relative Estimation Error (REE) and Relative Bias (RB). Following range standardization and the calculation of a composite index, UPGMA clustering was applied to identify the optimal station configuration.The results revealed pronounced spatial heterogeneity in the water environment. Elevated levels of salinity, dissolved oxygen, pH, total alkalinity, and ammonium nitrogen were mainly observed in Sanmen Bay and the eastern Xiangshan waters. Higher concentrations of chemical oxygen demand, silicate, reactive phosphate, particulate organic carbon, total nitrogen, nitrate nitrogen, and total phosphorus were concentrated along the southern coast of Hangzhou Bay-northern Beilun and the Xiangshan Port-southern Beilun regions. In contrast, suspended matter, Chl.a, nitrite nitrogen, and dissolved organic carbon exhibited relatively uniform spatial distributions. The REE decreased rapidly with increasing station numbers, with Chl.a, particulate organic carbon, nitrite nitrogen, and reactive phosphate showing the highest sensitivity to station density.By applying an REE threshold of 10% and considering clustering coverage, management constraints, and the need to retain long-term trend stations, an optimal network of 72 stations was determined for the entire study area. These were allocated to four subregions with 18, 17, 25, and 12 stations, respectively. The proposed framework balances statistical robustness and spatial representativeness and provides a practical reference for optimizing monitoring networks in Ningbo and other similar coastal seas.

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林重阳,郑涛鲤,王江,钱茹茹,张烨,林泽宇,赵静.基于重抽样与空间聚类方法的宁波近海海洋生态环境监测站位优化[J].上海海洋大学学报,2026,35(4):949-960.
LIN Chongyang, ZHENG Taoli, WANG Jiang, QIAN Ruru, ZHANG Ye, LIN Zeyu, ZHAO Jing. Optimization of marine ecological monitoring stations in Ningbo coastal waters based on resampling and spatial clustering[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2026,35(4):949-960.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-11-04
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-28
  • 录用日期:2026-03-13
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-04
  • 出版日期: 2026-07-31
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