西南大西洋渔获物产量结构及年间波动的灰色关联分析
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S937.3

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国家重点研发计划(2023YFD2401305);上海金优鱿钓渔业科技创新能力提升项目(D-8006-25-0098)


Gray correlation analysis of catch structure and interannual fluctuations in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean
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    摘要:

    西南大西洋(FAO 41渔区)拥有丰富的渔业资源,是阿根廷和欧洲等沿海或远洋国家与地区的主要作业渔场。由于全球气候变化和捕捞作业的影响,以及不同种群自有的生活史特性,20多年来该海域渔获物产量出现较大的年间波动。开展其渔获物产量结构组成及其年间波动的研究,对确保该海域渔业资源可持续利用和科学养护具有重要意义。本研究根据联合国粮农组织(FAO)提供的2000—2023年生产统计数据,利用灰色关联方法分析了西南大西洋渔获物产量组成及其年间变化。研究表明,头足类、软体类(除头足类外)、中上层鱼类、底层鱼类和甲壳类的灰色关联度依次为0.911 0、0.711 2、0.627 3、0.618 9和0.590 9。各大类中最大灰色关联度的种类分别为阿根廷滑柔鱼(Illex argentinus,0.952 6),巴塔哥尼亚扇贝(Zygochlamys patagonica,0.979 2),拉文囊鳃鳗(Saccopharynx lavenbergi,0.802 3),阿根廷鳀(Engraulis anchoita,0.797 3),阿根廷红虾(Pleoticus muelleri,0.984 3)。研究认为,头足类是影响西南大西洋渔获物产量变化的最主要因素,而阿根廷滑柔鱼、巴塔哥尼亚扇贝、拉文囊鳃鳗、阿根廷鳀、阿根廷红虾分别是头足类、软体类(除头足类外)、中上层鱼类、底层鱼类和甲壳类等各大类渔获物产量年间变化的主要原因。研究结果为西南大西洋渔业资源科学管理提供了参考。

    Abstract:

    The Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (FAO Fishing Area 41) is rich in fisheries resources and serves as a major fishing ground for coastal and distant-water fishing countries and regions such as Argentina and European nations. Affected by global climate change, fishing activities, as well as the inherent life history characteristics of different fish stocks, the catch in this sea area has exhibited substantial interannual fluctuations over the past two decades. Investigating the catch composition structure and its interannual variability is of great significance for ensuring the sustainable utilization and scientific conservation of fisheries resources in the region. Based on the 2000-2023 fishery production statistics provided by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), this study analyzed the catch composition and interannual changes in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean using the grey relational analysis method.The results showed that the grey relational grades of cephalopods, mollusks (excluding cephalopods), pelagic fishes, demersal fishes and crustaceans were 0.911 0, 0.711 2, 0.627 3, 0.618 9 and 0.590 9, respectively. The species with the highest grey relational grade in each major group were as follows: Illex argentinus(0.952 6), Zygochlamys patagonica (0.979 2), Salilota australis (0.802 3), Engraulis anchoita (0.797 3), and Pleoticus muelleri (0.984 3). It is suggested that cephalopods are the dominant factor affecting the variability of total catch in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean, while Illex argentinus, Zygochlamys patagonica, Salilota australis, Engraulis anchoita and Pleoticus muelleri are the key species driving the interannual catch variations of cephalopods, mollusks (excluding cephalopods), pelagic fishes, demersal fishes and crustaceans, respectively. The results provide a scientific reference for the scientific management of fisheries resources in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean.

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沈巨博,张忠,刘大鹏,沈锦松,陈新军.西南大西洋渔获物产量结构及年间波动的灰色关联分析[J].上海海洋大学学报,2026,35(4):989-998.
SHEN Jubo, ZHANG Zhong, LIU Dapeng, SHEN Jinsong, CHEN Xinjun. Gray correlation analysis of catch structure and interannual fluctuations in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2026,35(4):989-998.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-02-27
  • 最后修改日期:2026-03-25
  • 录用日期:2026-04-20
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-04
  • 出版日期: 2026-07-31
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