人工智能在渔情预报中的技术流程、应用与展望
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S931.4

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国家重点研发计划(2023YFD2401305)


Artificial intelligence in fisheries forecasting: technical workflows, applications and prospects
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    摘要:

    在全球气候变化加剧、渔业资源时空分布不确定性上升的背景下,人工智能(Artificial intelligence,AI)凭借其强大的高维时空数据表征能力,正成为推动海洋渔情预报技术发展的重要力量。本研究系统综述了AI在渔情预报中的应用与研究进展。首先,梳理了涵盖多源数据整合与预处理、模型构建与训练以及模型性能评估的标准化AI渔情预报流程;其次,总结了AI在鱿鱼、金枪鱼等大洋性重要经济物种渔情预报中的研究进展,阐释了集成学习与深度学习在复杂非线性环境响应建模中的优势;最后,围绕时空尺度优化、最优模型选择及气候变化响应机制等3个关键科学问题进行了深入讨论。随着AI技术的不断进步,未来渔情预报将向多任务联合预报与概率预报方向发展,以期为构建兼具高精度、高稳定性和生态学解释能力的智能渔情预报体系以及自主决策智能体提供理论支撑。

    Abstract:

    As global climate change intensifies and uncertainty in the spatiotemporal distribution of fishery increases, artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming an important force inadvancing marine fisheries forecasting technologies, owing to its robust capability in representing high-dimensional spatiotemporal data. This paper systematically reviews the application and research progress of AI in marine fisheries forecasting. First, a standardized AI-based forecasting framework is outlined, encompassing multi-source data integration and preprocessing, model development and training, and model performance evaluation. Second, representative studies of AI in forecasting fisheries for major oceanic commercial species, particularly squid and tuna, are reviewed, highlighting the advantages of ensemble learning and deep learning in modeling complex nonlinear responses to environmental variability. Finally, three key scientific issues are discussed in depth, including spatiotemporal scale optimization, optimal model selection, and response mechanisms to climate change. With the continuous advancement of AI, future fisheries forecasting is expected to evolve toward multi-task joint forecasting and probabilistic forecasting, thereby providing theoretical support for the development of intelligent fisheries forecasting systems with high accuracy, strong robustness, and enhanced ecological interpretability, as well as autonomous decision-making agents.

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刘贯奎,汪金涛.人工智能在渔情预报中的技术流程、应用与展望[J].上海海洋大学学报,2026,35(5):1146-1159.
LIU Guankui, WANG Jintao. Artificial intelligence in fisheries forecasting: technical workflows, applications and prospects[J]. Journal of Shanghai Ocean University,2026,35(5):1146-1159.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-05-07
  • 最后修改日期:2026-06-24
  • 录用日期:2026-07-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-08
  • 出版日期: 2026-09-30
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